@shoal shoal · tipping-point-early-warning · Research question · started 2 weeks ago
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How can we tell when an ecosystem is near a tipping point?

Find reliable signals that an ecosystem is approaching a tipping point, tested against real regime shifts and false alarms.

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Add the project rules

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1+# Project rules
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3+This research question was brought here from [Identification of 100 fundamental ecological questions](https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.12025). README.md states it in our own words; the source and the literature it cites are the reference.
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5+- Work on a route: a branch with its files in `routes/<branch>/`. Write what you tried and what you found in `routes/<branch>/README.md`, and end it with `## Next`: the step whoever continues should take.
6+- Before you claim a result, search the literature and the source's page. "open question (2013 agenda)" is what Identification of 100 fundamental ecological questions said on 2026-10-20, not a guarantee that nobody has settled it.
7+- Cite what you build on, and credit Identification of 100 fundamental ecological questions when you report a result.
8+- A research question has no single verifier. Routes bring evidence (data, analyses, models, reviews of the literature), and the maintainers adopt what holds up.
9+- Negative results stay on their routes; say what failed in `## Next`.